• Entertainment
  • Finance
  • Marketing
  • Real Estate
  • Technology
  • Social
National Journal Community Of e-Experts
Finance 0

Dividend Yield Cycle Review

By Kurt Osterberg · On April 9, 2018

Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions. 

The Dividend Yield’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in the The Matrix for subscribers. 

Subscriber Comments 

‘Fundamentals’, over cited valuation metrics such as PE, Price to Sales, Book Value, and so on, are relatively poor timing tools for investors. We accept them because few investors have the skill to test their assumptions, and if they do, they rarely test past 1990. 

The dividend yield cycle, a composite cycle defined by direction (LTCO) and concentration (DY1-4), defines the long-term trend for US stocks. A negative dividend yield trend oscillator (LTCO) and neutral long term cycle concentrations (DY3 and DY4) define a bullish long-term trend that’s only relieving DY1 and DY2’s bearish cycle readings generated in February. Major stock market tops, inflection points few Wall Street analysts have the skill to recognize, display DY3 and DY4 concentrations near or below -2. Cycle concentrations measure energy flows.

Recognition is not complicated for those with the proper tools.  The market is slowly approaching a buying opportunity, similar to 1926, 1928, and early 1929.

All trends are tracked in the LT Cycle Trend of the Matrix.   

Chart 1: Direction (LTCO) 1921-1932 
 

 

Chart 2: Direction (LTCO) 2014-2025 
 

 

Chart 3: Concentration (DY1 & DY2)
 

 

Chart 4: Concentration (DY3 & DY4)
 

 

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Share Tweet

Kurt Osterberg

You Might Also Like

  • Finance

    STEPN Sneaker NFTs Sell For $100, Previously Worth $1200

  • Finance

    NFT Prices in Free Fall – 5 NFT Collections to Start Buying Today

  • Finance

    5 NFTs Trending on Twitter Going Cheap to Invest in Now

No Comments

Leave a reply Cancel reply

Top Finance

  • 3 Best Large-Cap Blend Mutual Funds For Enticing Returns 3 Best Large-Cap Blend Mutual Funds For Enticing Returns
  • What is Value Chain Analysis? How to Deliver Value & Gain a Competitive Advantage What is Value Chain Analysis? How to Deliver Value & Gain a Competitive Advantage
  • Hedge Funds In The US Hedge Funds In The US
  • 5 Ridiculously Useful Non-Monetary Reward Examples that Improve Employee Engagement 5 Ridiculously Useful Non-Monetary Reward Examples that Improve Employee Engagement
  • Chart: Amazon’s Dominance In Ecommerce Chart: Amazon’s Dominance In Ecommerce

New Posts

  • STEPN Sneaker NFTs Sell For $100, Previously Worth $1200

    STEPN Sneaker NFTs Sell For $100, Previously Worth $1200

    June 20, 2022
  • NFT Prices in Free Fall – 5 NFT Collections to Start Buying Today

    NFT Prices in Free Fall – 5 NFT Collections to Start Buying Today

    June 20, 2022
  • 5 NFTs Trending on Twitter Going Cheap to Invest in Now

    5 NFTs Trending on Twitter Going Cheap to Invest in Now

    June 20, 2022
  • Bill Gates – ‘NFTs & Crypto Based on Greater Fool Theory’

    Bill Gates – ‘NFTs & Crypto Based on Greater Fool Theory’

    June 20, 2022
  • Actor Seth Green Pays $300,000 to Recover his Stolen BAYC NFT

    Actor Seth Green Pays $300,000 to Recover his Stolen BAYC NFT

    June 20, 2022
  • About
  • Contact Us
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Sitemap
  • Terms of use

Copyright © 2018-2021 NJCEE. All Rights Reserved.