A broker from a big bank just did something I’d never do…
He put a number on the potential value of the blockchain market.
If you think, as I do, that blockchain technology will expand from dozens of uses to hundreds and then thousands, how can you calculate a precise market value for that?
It’s like Thomas Edison trying to predict in the late 1800s how much the electricity market would be worth a few decades into the 20th century.
Did he realize at the time that almost everything we now make and use, not just lights, would be electrified?
Probably not. How could he?
(And the one thing he thought would be electrified – vehicles – didn’t catch on until more than 100 years later!)
I believe at some point in the future (10 years? 20 years?), most of the services we’ll be using on a daily basis will be enabled by the blockchain.
Again, how can you put a price on such a ubiquitous technology?
Is it in the tens of billions? Hundreds of billions? More?
A Report From Deep Inside Wall Street
Here’s the best thing about the a number this broker put together…
It doesn’t come from crypto investors talking their own book… initial coin offering companies hyping their future growth… or blockchain evangelists espousing best-case scenarios as a given.
Mitch Steves, the author of this report, is a traditional Wall Street equity analyst. He works for the RBC Capital Markets subsidiary.
His only connection to blockchain and crypto?
Among the companies in his bailiwick is NVIDIA because it makes graphics processing units for mining cryptocurrency.
By the way, he says the $4 billion-plus market for mining cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Steves says that blockchain technology is misunderstood – that store of value and payment use cases are the most commonly cited but “the least interesting.”
The single most “positive technology” breakthrough is the one staring us in the face: The blockchain, the underlying technology, HAS NEVER BEEN HACKED.
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