• Entertainment
  • Finance
  • Marketing
  • Real Estate
  • Technology
  • Social
National Journal Community Of e-Experts
Finance 0

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: Slight Improvement In April

By Kurt Osterberg · On April 19, 2018

The Philly Fed’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey is a monthly report for the Third Federal Reserve District, covers eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware. While it focuses exclusively on business in this district, this regional survey gives a generally reliable clue as to the direction of the broader Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index.

The latest Manufacturing Index came in at 23.2, up from last month’s 22.3 and has been positive for twenty-three consecutive months. The 3-month moving average came in at 23.8, up from 23.4 last month. Since this is a diffusion index, negative readings indicate contraction, positive ones indicate expansion. The Six-Month Outlook came in at 47.9, an increase from the previous month’s 41.2.

Today’s 23.2 headline number came in above the 20.8 forecast at Investing.com.

Here is the introduction from the survey released today:

Results from the April Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued growth for the region’s manufacturing sector. Although the survey’s indexes for general activity and employment improved slightly, the indexes for new orders and shipments moderated. The firms also reported higher prices for both inputs and their own manufactured goods this month. The survey’s future indexes, measuring expectations for the next six months, reflected continued optimism. (Full Report)

The first chart below gives us a look at this diffusion index since 2000, which shows us how it has behaved in proximity to the two 21st century recessions. The red dots show the indicator itself, which is quite noisy, and the 3-month moving average, which is more useful as an indicator of coincident economic activity. We can see periods of contraction in 2011, 2012 and 2015, and a shallower contraction in 2013. 2016 saw an improvement only to detract in the second half of 2017.

 

In the next chart, we see the complete series, which dates from May 1960. For proof of the high volatility of the headline indicator, note that the average absolute monthly change across this data series is 7.7.

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Share Tweet

Kurt Osterberg

You Might Also Like

  • Finance

    Bored Ape Metaverse Launch Date set for April 30

  • Finance

    Celebrity Backed NFT Collections to Invest in 2022

  • Finance

    Bored Ape Metaverse Launch Date set for April 30

No Comments

Leave a reply Cancel reply

Top Finance

  • 3 Best Large-Cap Blend Mutual Funds For Enticing Returns 3 Best Large-Cap Blend Mutual Funds For Enticing Returns
  • Hedge Funds In The US Hedge Funds In The US
  • What is Value Chain Analysis? How to Deliver Value & Gain a Competitive Advantage What is Value Chain Analysis? How to Deliver Value & Gain a Competitive Advantage
  • 5 Ridiculously Useful Non-Monetary Reward Examples that Improve Employee Engagement 5 Ridiculously Useful Non-Monetary Reward Examples that Improve Employee Engagement
  • Chart: Amazon’s Dominance In Ecommerce Chart: Amazon’s Dominance In Ecommerce

New Posts

  • Bored Ape Metaverse Launch Date set for April 30

    Bored Ape Metaverse Launch Date set for April 30

    April 24, 2022
  • Celebrity Backed NFT Collections to Invest in 2022

    Celebrity Backed NFT Collections to Invest in 2022

    April 24, 2022
  • Bored Ape Metaverse Launch Date set for April 30

    Bored Ape Metaverse Launch Date set for April 30

    April 24, 2022
  • Mutant Ape Yacht Club Hits 32 ETH All Time High Price Floor

    Mutant Ape Yacht Club Hits 32 ETH All Time High Price Floor

    April 22, 2022
  • Rare CryptoPunk #7756 sells for $3.2 million (1050 ETH)

    Rare CryptoPunk #7756 sells for $3.2 million (1050 ETH)

    April 22, 2022
  • About
  • Contact Us
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Sitemap
  • Terms of use

Copyright © 2018-2021 NJCEE. All Rights Reserved.